28 August 2026
03:38 UTC- ESA funds three rocket startups with €544 million
Europe is now paying for launch alternatives to both SpaceX and its own Ariane 6, a hedge that could ease SES's launch bottleneck by 2027-28.
- Ariane 6 completes first flight to geostationary orbit
Europe's own launcher now has a proven GEO capability, widening options beyond SpaceX for SES's future satellites.
27 August 2026
03:50 UTC- White House targets 1,000 launches a year by 2030
A federal push to sextuple US launch cadence could ease — or further entrench SpaceX's grip on — the bottleneck gating SES's launch manifest.
- Iridium sets Sept 24 vote on Rocket Lab merger
The $8bn tie-up now has a firm shareholder-vote date and a hard 2027 deadline to close.
26 August 2026
16:18 UTC- US Trustee seeks examiner over EchoStar's $1.5bn Hughes deals
A bankruptcy examiner could force EchoStar to disclose how it split SpaceX's $20bn spectrum payout with distressed Hughes.
25 August 2026
21:52 UTC- Kepler launches first commercial optical satellite-relay network
A Canadian rival beats Amazon and Starlink to commercial optical relay, sharpening competition for SES's own K2/meoSphere bet.
- SpaceX plans $100bn Starbase Louisiana, shifts Starlink to Starship
SpaceX doubles down on Starship-scale launch cadence, widening its cost and volume edge over SES's own launch-constrained roadmap.
22 August 2026
03:45 UTC- China's Qianfan operator raises $1.94bn state-led round
State capital entrenches China's #2 megaconstellation, hardening the sovereign-connectivity rival SES faces across BRI and emerging markets.
20 August 2026
03:47 UTC- FCC sets deadlines for Amazon's satellite-phone spectrum bid
Sets a September-October window for SES and rivals to formally contest Amazon's device-to-phone spectrum bid.
- Chinese state press confirms 10,000-satellite Honghu-3 schedule
A newly-detailed rollout schedule confirms Honghu-3 will scale to 10,000 satellites by 2030, squeezing SES's sovereign-connectivity markets.
19 August 2026
03:43 UTC- Starlink, Airtel launch first African D2D phone service
Starlink's DRC launch, with 14-market Africa rollout planned, threatens SES's core African GEO connectivity revenue.
- LandSpace lands rocket booster, a China first
Narrows China's launch-cost gap with SpaceX, speeding the Chinese constellations SES competes against.
18 August 2026
03:43 UTC- SES-backed Lynk, Omnispace merge to form Elveo Mobile
SES's weak 2 GHz MSS bidder gains Omnispace's spectrum, reshaping its EU standing.
17 August 2026
16:37 UTC- Rocket Lab contract says Globalstar needs 17 satellites, not 8
Nine satellites remain unlaunched, so Amazon's $11.6bn Globalstar merger condition is not yet satisfied.
- Belgian startup beats Airbus to build most of IRIS²
A startup will build 264 of 348 satellites on the programme SES has committed €1.35bn to.
17 August 2026
03:43 UTC- China launches Guowang group 24, twelve days after the last
China's launch cadence quadrupled, shrinking the window SES has to win non-Western sovereign customers.
- Globalstar says all eight replacement satellites reached orbit
One launch may satisfy Amazon's $11.6bn merger condition, pulling that deal's timeline forward.
16 August 2026
03:46 UTC- SpaceX launches nine Globalstar replacement satellites
Amazon's $11.6bn Globalstar acquisition clears one of its two closing conditions on schedule.
15 August 2026
03:41 UTC- SpaceX closes its $60bn Cursor acquisition
SpaceX issued $60bn in stock without strain, so expect Starlink's price pressure to continue.
14 August 2026
08:28 UTC- Telesat books all 225 Lightspeed satellites on SpaceX rockets
SpaceX still sells dedicated launches to rivals, easing supply risk on SES's 2029 meoSphere manifest.
- Telesat will not own Canada's Arctic MEO constellation
The multi-band MEO precedent SES read as validation is uncontracted and roughly two years away.
14 August 2026
03:41 UTC- Telesat says its cash cannot cover a $1.7bn December bond
A tracked rival must refinance within months, reopening distress risk across the GEO field.
- Rocket Lab clears antitrust and raises $1.94bn for Iridium
Rocket Lab moves closer to owning the government contracts Intelsat General competes for.
12 August 2026
03:50 UTC- Firefly posts record $117.7M revenue but cuts 2026 launches
Non-SpaceX launch capacity stays constrained, which threatens SES's own meoSphere launch schedule.
- Starlink passes 13 million subscribers and 22 million mobile users
Starlink keeps growing above its earlier pace, so its pricing pressure on SES will hold.
11 August 2026
03:55 UTC- AST wins over $125M in US national-security contracts
Washington funds a direct SES rival as sovereign infrastructure, even as AST misses revenue estimates.
- Rocket Lab reveals two undisclosed acquisitions, including Mynaric
A rival is buying up optical inter-satellite links, the same technology SES's meoSphere depends on.
- Chinese rocket explodes, grounding the YF-100 engine family
A fleet-wide grounding could slow China's LEO buildout and buy SES competitive breathing room.
10 August 2026
03:44 UTC- SpaceX and Tesla commit $16.8bn to a chip factory
SpaceX is securing chip supply for orbital computing, the market SES's space-data thesis targets.
8 August 2026
21:30 UTC- SES commits up to €1.35bn to IRIS²'s MEO segment
SES sets a 10% return floor and keeps 90% of MEO capacity commercially saleable.
8 August 2026
03:47 UTC- AST and Vodafone begin live testing across eight EU countries
AST's direct-to-device threat moves from intent to execution on SES's home continent.
- Eutelsat's LEO revenue reaches €297M, a quarter of group sales
SES's closest European peer proves a GEO-to-LEO pivot can offset legacy decline.
- SpaceX stock rises 6% as its largest lockup expires
The market absorbed a $98.7bn unlock, so Starlink's price aggression stays well funded.
- Hughes restructuring talks collapse before its bankruptcy filing
EchoStar looks financially weaker as a rival bidder for the 2 GHz spectrum SES wants.
7 August 2026
08:19 UTC- EU and SpaceRISE sign the IRIS² implementation agreement
SES's largest sovereign bet is now signed, scoped at 348 satellites and funded.
7 August 2026
07:57 UTC- FCC opens 200 MHz of unlicensed spectrum to satellite direct-to-device
Rivals gain ammunition to argue Europe need not reserve 2 GHz spectrum for IRIS².
5 August 2026
09:58 UTC- AST deploys all three Block 2 satellites on schedule
AST is hitting its dates, keeping its direct-to-device threat to SES on track.
- SpaceX plans mobile base stations on Starlink dishes
SpaceX now targets the $600bn US mobile market, widening how aggressively it will price.
5 August 2026
03:47 UTC- Telesat and MDA win a 15-year Canadian Arctic defence contract
A NATO government chose a Western rival for the sovereign defence connectivity SES also sells.
- SpaceX reports its first public results, $7.8bn quarterly revenue
Other revenue subsidises Starlink's subscriber growth, so its pricing will not ease.
- China launches Guowang satellites straight into 1,100km orbit
China cut months off deployment, shortening the runway before Guowang competes for SES's markets.
4 August 2026
03:46 UTC- Hughes lenders probe a $1.03bn dividend paid to EchoStar
Contested transfers raise clawback risk at EchoStar, a rival bidder for 2 GHz spectrum.
3 August 2026
20:01 UTC- Hughes files Chapter 11 after missing a $1.5bn maturity
The distress SES has tracked since July lands, but EchoStar's spectrum arm is untouched.
1 August 2026
03:42 UTC- C-band order published, opening the window to challenge SES's $5.6bn
Any party now has 60 days to contest SES's 89% share of the incentive pool.
- SES CEO says the IRIS² signature is "days away"
The CEO put the strongest timing yet on record for SES's largest sovereign commitment.
31 July 2026
03:44 UTC- SES leads its first Space Force programme of record
Supplier K2 doubled to a $6.8bn valuation, lowering execution risk on SES's meoSphere.
- FCC blocks EchoStar from tapping a $2.4bn trust fund
Regulators keep constraining EchoStar, weakening a rival bidder for 2 GHz spectrum.
- SES reports IRIS² talks in final stages, revenue down 5%
IRIS² progress and SES's softening commercial business are moving in opposite directions.
30 July 2026
03:43 UTC- SpaceX wins $1.6bn for 18 Space Force launches
Pentagon revenue funding Starlink's price cuts keeps growing, now past $8bn this year.
- EchoStar prepares to let Hughes default on $1.5bn
EchoStar will not rescue Hughes despite holding AT&T cash, signalling weaker group credibility.
- Spain commits up to €2bn to satcom built into IRIS²
A second EU state funds IRIS² rather than a competing national constellation.
29 July 2026
03:33 UTC- SES will relay data for the Starlab commercial space station
SES opens a revenue line selling connectivity to spacecraft rather than to ground users.
- EchoStar closes its $23bn AT&T spectrum sale
A recapitalised EchoStar becomes a stronger rival on both 2 GHz spectrum and C-band.
28 July 2026
03:40 UTC- FCC hires its own contractor to set C-band reimbursement costs
The decision on SES's ~$3.75bn clearing costs moves off the public record for six months.
- Rocket Lab wins a record $266m Space Force contract
Rocket Lab deepens ties with the command deciding the Iridium renewal SES competes for.
27 July 2026
09:48 UTC- Amazon files for a 5,105-satellite direct-to-device constellation
A fifth funded D2D system strengthens the case against reserving EU spectrum for IRIS².
27 July 2026
09:30 UTC- FCC awards SES $5.607bn, 89% of the C-band pool
SES's biggest open financial item lands 7% below estimate but far ahead of rivals.
25 July 2026
04:43 UTC- Starship flies and deploys the first 20 Starlink V3 satellites
SpaceX proved the hardware behind its next capacity jump, sustaining pressure on SES's pricing.
23 July 2026
04:32 UTC- Space Force triples its launch contract ceiling to $17bn
Pentagon spending that subsidises Starlink's pricing grows threefold over the coming decade.
- Chinese satellite sweeps the entire GEO belt every 23 days
A classified Chinese asset can repeatedly inspect SES's core fleet and GovSat.
- FCC adopts the Upper C-band order, auction set for 2027
SES's multi-billion incentive is near-final, pending only the released final text.
22 July 2026
05:00 UTC- Poland raises its IRIS² commitment to €656M for 12 satellites
An EU frontline state funds IRIS² while SES negotiates its own exit terms.
21 July 2026
21:11 UTC- Hughes bondholders hire counsel before a $1.5bn maturity
EchoStar's subsidiary heads for a contested restructuring rather than a quiet refinancing.
20 July 2026
04:41 UTC- SpaceX delays Starship again to replace two Raptor engines
Repeated scrubs slow the Starlink V3 capacity jump that threatens SES's MEO position.
18 July 2026
04:46 UTC- India clears Reliance Jio's 1,600-satellite constellation as technically sound
India's domestic rival advances while SES's own Jio joint venture stays blocked.
17 July 2026
06:49 UTC- Starship aborts at ignition carrying 20 Starlink V3 satellites
SpaceX's next-generation satellite bus stays unproven, delaying the capability SES is racing.
16 July 2026
05:03 UTC- Amazon signs its first African reseller deal, beating Starlink
A Western rival locks a national market SES tracks as a China-versus-West battleground.
- AST raises $1.0bn for satellites and possible acquisitions
A 2 GHz spectrum rival strengthens its balance sheet ahead of the EU contest.
- AST admits its Japanese award is only preliminary
The precedent SES cites for reserving EU spectrum is weaker than the desk recorded.
15 July 2026
04:48 UTC- China injects ¥7.37bn into three commercial space manufacturers
State capital accelerates the Chinese cost curve that undercuts SES in contested markets.
- NATO funds a $4.012bn pooled satellite network, designed by ASELSAN
Sovereign defence demand is real at scale, but national primes are building it, not SES.
- SES files with the FCC before the C-band vote
SES is contesting the rules that let rival constellations degrade its GEO fleet.
14 July 2026
04:45 UTC- Germany plans 1,200 satellites for €35bn, without SES
A €35bn sovereign programme in SES's home region is being built without it.
13 July 2026
08:23 UTC- FCC drops the hard interference limits protecting SES's GEO fleet
Starlink and Kuiper may now degrade SES's Ku-band links under a looser standard.
12 July 2026
06:30 UTC- Eight NATO allies announce a pooled military satellite constellation
Sovereign demand grows, but pooled government capacity could eventually replace what SES sells.
6 July 2026
05:07 UTC- Qianfan launches twice in two days, reaching 238 satellites
China nears its service threshold early, compressing SES's window in Africa and Southeast Asia.
5 July 2026
04:45 UTC- Qianfan resumes launches, reaching 218 satellites
China's commercial constellation builds steadily toward the 324 satellites service requires.
4 July 2026
04:45 UTC- Korea adopts a sovereign LEO plan worth up to $9.3bn
A third Indo-Pacific state chooses to build sovereign capacity rather than buy it.
30 June 2026
06:30 UTC- Rocket Lab buys Iridium for $8bn
A vertically integrated rival now holds the government contracts Intelsat General competes for.
29 June 2026
06:30 UTC- Report says SES approved IRIS² after compromises
SES's internal capital gate for IRIS² appears cleared, though SES has not confirmed it.
- India blocks the Jio-SES joint venture from launching service
SES should model zero India revenue from this venture through at least mid-2027.
28 June 2026
06:30 UTC- Reliance commits $10-15bn to a 1,650-satellite constellation
India's sovereign window may close 12 to 18 months earlier than SES modelled.
- China completes a satellite voice call to an ordinary smartphone
Chinese operators can now sell direct-to-device services in the markets SES targets.
- SpaceX wins $6.45bn in Golden Dome surveillance contracts
SpaceX becomes the Pentagon's core orbital surveillance supplier, strengthening Europe's sovereignty argument.
27 June 2026
06:30 UTC- Boeing wins a $2bn dedicated US military satcom contract
Even the Pentagon buys sovereign capacity separately from Starlink, validating the IRIS² model.
- China locks orbital claims for 203,000 satellites as objections close
SES can no longer rely on ITU process to limit Chinese constellation expansion.
26 June 2026
06:30 UTC- Jio files its 1,650-satellite constellation with India's regulator
India's highest-value government contracts may close to foreign operators, including SES.
- EU reserves a third of 2 GHz spectrum for IRIS²
Europe is codifying SES's government spectrum position, subject to US trade pressure.
- SpaceX IPO values the company at $1.77 trillion
Public capital lets Starlink cut prices indefinitely and fund an orbital computing business.
25 June 2026
22:34 UTC- Telesat faces going-concern doubt on $2.94bn of debt
Telesat's sovereign customers may need a new provider, an opening for O3b mPOWER.
- Qianfan targets Brazil consumer service by late 2026
Chinese broadband reaches SES's markets in 2026, not the 2028 SES had assumed.
- Japan approves 700 MHz for direct-to-device, favouring Rakuten
A G7 state looks set to build sovereign direct-to-device capacity without SpaceX.
25 June 2026
22:17 UTC- AST schedules three more satellites for August
AST launches faster than SES modelled, making it a real 2 GHz competitor.
25 June 2026
06:30 UTC- Reliance announces a 1,650-satellite sovereign constellation for India
India intends to own its connectivity infrastructure rather than buy it from SES.
- Qianfan cuts satellite cost 96%, to $1.4M each
Chinese manufacturing costs undercut any Western pricing model in contested markets.
- SpaceX challenges the EU's 2 GHz reserve using EchoStar filings
A successful challenge would collapse the spectrum reservation underpinning SES's IRIS² position.
- Report says IRIS² is ready to pass its go-ahead review
SES's largest capital decision appears close, with no formal confirmation yet.