Weak signal · 1 July 2026, 04:47 UTC
Qianfan pacing — no new launches found; 324-by-July target now effectively missed.
Not filed to a thread
As the brief logged it
Cross-checked Chinese-language sources (China Daily, 21jingji, cww.net.cn) against western trackers — both converge on ~200 Qianfan satellites as of June 5, with no confirmed launch June 6-30. With "today" being July 1 and the official mid-2026/324-satellite target unmet and unrevised, this is now a confirmed slip in practice even though Spacesail/CASC has issued no formal revision. Consistent with priors BASE RATES; no action needed beyond continued weekly watch. No divergence between Chinese state figures and independent trackers detected.
Provenance
Logged in the brief of 1 July 2026.
Raw brief ↗ (repository access)